Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.217093 0.250849 0.287944 0.331709 0.381913 0.437682 0.504316
2024-10-20 0.166620 0.211010 0.264206 0.332560 0.417979 0.521126 0.655081
2024-10-27 0.125540 0.173006 0.234601 0.320177 0.435795 0.586375 0.797212
2024-11-03 0.102966 0.153422 0.223878 0.329046 0.481627 0.694498 1.013595
2024-11-10 0.086339 0.138338 0.216060 0.340025 0.532070 0.817434 1.272711
2024-11-17 0.070660 0.121221 0.201774 0.338471 0.563585 0.918241 1.517666
2024-11-24 0.058304 0.106653 0.188424 0.335463 0.591776 1.018097 1.778128
2024-12-01 0.048904 0.095021 0.177516 0.334115 0.621954 1.125463 2.068609
2024-12-08 0.041756 0.085882 0.169085 0.335264 0.656234 1.244707 2.398883
2024-12-15 0.036742 0.079720 0.164869 0.343221 0.704011 1.395055 2.809540
2024-12-22 0.031578 0.072142 0.156422 0.341201 0.731911 1.512151 3.175517
2024-12-29 0.028194 0.067613 0.153258 0.349240 0.781148 1.677879 3.663356
2025-01-05 0.024144 0.060833 0.144249 0.343592 0.801677 1.790821 4.065999
2025-01-12 0.021506 0.056800 0.140583 0.349222 0.848042 1.965818 4.630950
2025-01-19 0.018326 0.050732 0.131037 0.339376 0.857440 2.061699 5.036799
2025-01-26 0.016775 0.048515 0.130375 0.350965 0.919786 2.287543 5.778893
2025-02-02 0.015476 0.046691 0.130358 0.364204 0.988620 2.539541 6.624275
2025-02-09 0.013737 0.043237 0.125407 0.363594 1.022077 2.711152 7.299986
2025-02-16 0.012164 0.039901 0.120124 0.361077 1.050095 2.873638 7.979112
2025-02-23 0.010853 0.037066 0.115690 0.360108 1.082230 3.051897 8.728619
2025-03-02 0.009788 0.034756 0.112338 0.361670 1.121873 3.256488 9.582388
2025-03-09 0.009046 0.033343 0.111428 0.370462 1.184271 3.533315 10.681126
2025-03-16 0.008111 0.031046 0.107297 0.368440 1.213922 3.722768 11.561418